03/13/2024
Theoretical Analysis of Mass Shootings
Chiâanne Brieske
PhD in Forensic Psychology, Criminal Behavior
One thing we know with complete certainty about mass shootings, is that we donât know much about mass shootings. This paper aims to synthesize the diverse and conflicting information researched regarding mass shootings. Public mass shootings are generally categorized as an event in which four or more individuals are killed from a shooting in a public setting. The United States accounts for approximately one-third of all public mass shootings in the world (Lei & Mackenzie, 2021). The term mass shooting is a public health concern, however, there is a lack of consensus regarding a concrete and specific definition, which poses a serious problem for conceptualization, prevention, statistics, and research.
Description, History and Statistics
Contrary to popular belief, mass shootings are rare events, making up less than 1% of all violent crimes in the United States, mass murders, including school shootings, impacting the ability to accumulate data and calculate year over year statistics (Cornell, 2017; Hurst, 2005). This poses a challenge to producing meaningful data due to the lack of plentiful and varied events and information. Moreover, the existing work that is available pales in comparison to most crimes, highlighting the gaps of predictability. This generates barriers to systemically comparing and contrasting different models and approaches aimed at prevention (Lei & Mackenzie, 2021). The National Institute of Justice (2022) highlighted that the âThe death toll has risen sharply, particularly in the last decade. In the 1970s, mass shootings claimed an average of eight lives per year. From 2010 to 2019, the end of the study period, the average was up to 51 deaths per year. To put this in perspective, the National Highway Safety Traffic Administration (2000) reported that 30& of all traffic crash fatalities in the United States involve drunk drivers, and 32 people in the United States are killed every day in crashes involving an alcohol-impaired driver which breaks down to one every 45 minutes.
Trends
Lankford and Silver (2020) and Schildkraut (2021) stated that mass shootings continue to increase in lethality and frequency over time. However, the researchers admittedly mentioned that âmuch remains unknownâ about the broader spectrum of mass shootings, particularly about those that are spontaneous versus premeditated in private areas, and those that occur during gang or community violenceâ (Schildkraut & Geller, 2022).
Prevalence
âOne challenge for responding to the phenomenon of mass shootings is a lack of context about the prevalence of the problem, which stems from the absence of how to operationalize âmass,â and corresponding data sourceâ (Freilich, Chermak, and Klein 2020). The difficulty lies in manualizing the definition including number of people killed, accounting for injured persons, the method, and the setting. Some widely cited sources Berkowitz and Alcantara, (2021) and Fox 2021) define a mass shooting as four or more people are killed, which can skew the data towards the more lethal cases and omit high-casualty cases where many are injured but few are killed. The obvious challenge is determining what factor outweighs the rest such as death toll or the setting. Certain sources may employ broader parameters, such as using a threshold of four or more people who are shot (Gun Violence Archive n.d.), while others may use criteria to narrow cases to a specific subset, like mass public shootings (e.g., Schildkraut and Elsass 2016). Another salient factor is whether or not the perpetrator is included in the death count, as the threshold number is greatly impacted by another death. As a result, the wildly inconsistent estimates of the number of mass shootings range from an average to one per month to one or more per day (B***y et al. 2019) (Schildkraut & Geller, 2022).
âThe attention devoted to mass shootings, particularly by the media, often is disproportional to their actual occurrenceâ (Schildkraut, Elsass, and Stafford 2015). Homicides, of which approximately 80 percent are perpetrated with a firearm (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2022), account for 0.1 percent of all offenses known to law enforcement, and an even smaller fraction of these cases are mass shootings (Schildkraut, Elsass, and Meredith 2018). Despite their statistical rarity, however, these events generate widespread concern and often are accompanied by demands to âdo somethingâ to prevent the next attack (Schildkraut & Geller, 2022).
Incidence. From 2000 to 2018, the FBI recorded 277 active shooter incidents in which an individual shoots and kills others in a public space, resulting in 2430 casualties. The FBI further notes that the number of such incidents is on the rise, with 69% of these incidents occurring between 2010 and 2018 (2019). The United States accounts for approximately one-third of all public mass shootings in the world (Lei & Mackenzie, 2021).
Theoretical Application
Discussed are three theories with a potential application to understanding mass shootings from differing perspectives and considerations. Labeling theory, social control theory and general strain theory will be used to examine motivations and contributing factors to the behavior of perpetrators.
Labeling Theory
Labeling theory is a sociological and criminological theory that seeks to understand how social structures and human societies are related to criminal behavior. This theory theorizes a strong and negative societal reaction to an individual's wrongdoing can lead the individual to become more deviant for two reasons: the individual internalizes the experience impacting the sense of self and the lack of conventional opportunities due to this label. This approach creates a negative feedback loop while viewing both sides as contributing factor to the deviance. This theory discusses that the structure of criminal justice system actually creates the system for which the behavior to occur (Vance, 2021).
Columbine was a salient example of extensive, pervasive, relentless news media coverage that ultimately had two outcomes: emphasis on the death count and increasing notoriety of the shooters. This coverage obsessively covers details over the shooterâs history, photos, recent social media posts which has the opposite effect of making events known for the purpose of accurate information. This distorted version of news that was once intended make dangers known to the viewer, remain connected to the world, and maintain accountability glamourizes the perpetrator and ends up drifting into fame, notoriety and the pop culture of murder (Lankford & Madfis, 2018).
News stories covering school shootings often create a culture of fear, construct false narratives, and scatter misinformation (Brooks et al., 2000; Burns & Crawford, 1999; Muschert, 2019). Despite their statistical rarity, however, these events generate widespread concern and often are accompanied by demands to prevent the next attack, as if it is an impending illness (Schildkraut & Geller, 2022).
Skinner (1968) once said âbehavior that is rewarded tends to be repeatedâ, such as a label reinforces the behavior, regardless of the reward is positive or negative attention. The fan favorite, âsuper predatorâ, created by DiIulio referred to an âcontrollable youth hiding within communities where crime and violence are rareâ (DiIulio, 1995). His reference sounds like a mystical creature waiting to attack with no observable warning signs of danger.
Strengths and Limitations
The framework of this theory has a broad range of application due to its loose and non-specific criteria for perpetrator, type of crime, consideration of internal and external elements, and does not force a targeted rationale for behavior. However, this is also itâs limitations as it was difficult to prove, manualize, observe and had difficulty standing alone, thus it fell off in popularity. The move towards evidence-based research was likely a contributing factor to its fall out. Another concern was whether the focus of labeling ore strongly affects the individual or social structure (Vance, 2021).
Social Control
Social control theory suggests that the strength and durability of an individual's bonds or commitments to conventional society inhibit social deviance (Hirschi 1969; Simpson 1976). The basic human need for belonging and attachment to others is influences behavioral, emotional, and cognitive processes. Positive, healthy relationships are thought to deter criminal behavior and deviance. Likewise, when an individual does not feel connected to the larger structure of society, problematic behaviors develop (Hirschi, 1969: Simpson, 1976). The three main ways of achieving this are through a healthy positive adult role model, development of personal conscious, and basic needs being met.
An example emphasizing displacing individuals from social bonds the increase in expulsions and juvenile incarcerations (Mosqueda et al., 2023) stemming from misinformation following Columbine. Thompson and Kyle's (2005) study maintained that examining the influence that environmental factors have on school shooters is necessary to enhance the understanding of these events. Lankford (2013) found that 88% of school shooters had experienced school-related problems and 97% of workplace shooters had experienced work-related problems. The lack of connectedness and belonging to others in the community is one of the factors in social control theory that could help explain mass shootings, especially considered there was often a precipitating crisis event that propelled the decision to move forward with the shooting. Moreover, active shooters often displayed observable and troubling behaviors with majority of them related to mental health challenges, interpersonal issues and possession of violent content (Silver et al., 2018). In a study aimed at understanding gender and bullying, Gason & Nagata (2021) showed that adolescent boys who experienced bullying victimization based on gender, compared to those who did not, had significantly greater odds of reporting they carried a gun to school one or more times in the past year.
Strengths and Limitations
Strengths of this approach include appreciating the critical role of social bonds in relation to a social crime. This theory does well to account for internal and external motivating factors from the lens of attachment. This approach takes into three levels of social interaction including micro, meso, and macro and how they can influence each other early bonds, which is well-supported theoretically and statistically. The limitations of this approach would be requiring multiple systems to adapt and flow in tandem to reduce the likelihood of disconnection. Specifically, our society is rather individualistic and values independence, so this may prove to be a difficult to execute.
Strain Theory
Strain theory is an analysis of why people commit crime and leans into emotion, stress, coping, and learned behaviors to avoid feeling the weight of pressure. This theory suggests that inability to cope with stress and strain leads to maladaptive coping mechanisms leading to criminal behavior. âYoung people are particularly likely to choose antisocial responses for several reasons, including peer pressure, a need for autonomy, and lack of control over circumstances. Of the negative emotions caused by strain, anger is the one most often associated with criminal behaviorâ (Campbell, 2020). The dynamics of mass murder and are viewed as the outcome of deep frustration and perceived rejection in a highly narcissistic person, wounded in his ego, hostile towards society, and in search of identity and notoriety through a cathartic self-assertion.
Strengths and Limitations
This theory clearly links psychology and criminal behavior with an experientially universal lens. Advantages of this theory are the wide array of applicability due to the emphasis of emotion and its fundamental part of the human experience, even across cultures. Granted, cultures vary in their recognition and expression, but it is widely accepted that the range of emotions are relatively similar. Some of the main tenets have been empirically tests according to Froggio (2007) like negative emotions link to deviant behavior. Although it requires more attention, data, time and research, the overall foundation could be useful to explaining a portion of mass shootings as lack of ability to cope combined with high emotions are relevant.
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