03/25/2022
A lesson in cognitive biases as demonstrated by my bracket:
1) Gambler’s Fallacy - Past results impact the probability of success in the present. Because Gonzaga has never won it all before, I don’t have them in the Final Four.
2) Availability Heuristic - If it’s easy to recall, we over estimate it’s likelihood of occurrence. Kentucky, Duke, and Kansas are in my Final Four because I can remember times when these programs have had success.
3) Overconfidence - This is my year!
4) Home Bias - Arizona will win the 🏆!! Oh by the way, I live in Arizona.
Check out the latest episode of as I discuss these biases with