16/09/2020
Why are there so many coronavirus conspiracy theories?
Conspiracy theories help explain chaotic events. They appeal to the human tendency towards proportionality bias. This the assumption that big event have meaningful causes.
These days, with social media, conspiracy theories can spread like wildfire.
Conspiracy theories can be difficult to debunk because they are self-sealing. Meaning that those criticising the theory are thought to be in on it, or too stupid to see the truth.
The Conspiracy Theory Formula
A physicist at Oxford University named David Grimes has developed a mathematical equation that calculates the time it would take for a theory to unravel. The probability of detection increases with the number of conspirators involved and the amount of time passed.
So for example, let’s look at the theory that coronavirus is a hoax. If you factor in health care professionals, scientists, politicians and those directly or indirectly affected by the disease, we are looking at around 1 billion people that would have to be conspirators. This theory would unravel in approximately 5 hours.
Have Conspiracy theories been present during other global health crises?
In 1889 electric lights were thought to be responsible for a global influenza outbreak. Sound familiar? Yep, it sounds a lot like the coronavirus spreading via 5G.
Why is this a problem?
Because it can kill people. Flouting social distancing rules and refusing to wear a mask, will spread the virus. The more virus in the community, the more people in hospital and the higher the chance of our hospitals being overwhelmed.
Moreover, when the anger of the conspiracy theorists spills over into violent protests, there can be dangerous consequences.
What can we do?
Listen to the right experts. In particular, epidemiologists or the critical care physicians on the front line. Take the advice of the World Health Organisation. Do not listen to one FRINGE doctor or scientist whose opinion is not backed up by their peers. Spread the truth. Put people in their place if they are spreading misinformation.