World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development

19/05/2024

International Forum "Ecology and Peace" held at КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського.

The forum focused on addressing issues related to combating ecocide, nuclear terrorism, humanitarian demining, and water purification. Leading experts and scientists gathered on May 15-16, 2024, to discuss the environmental problems caused by the war. Military actions have significantly worsened the environmental situation, and the consequences of aggression and terrorist acts by the Russian Federation were described as deliberate acts of ecocide.

Mykhailo Zgurovsky, the rector of the Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute and scientific director of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development, emphasized the importance of international cooperation in addressing environmental challenges. He highlighted that modern technologies and innovations in environmental monitoring and restoration are critical for overcoming the consequences of ecocides and achieving sustainable development. Mykhailo Zgurovsky also presented the results of a foresight study analyzing the prospects of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation in the new Euro-Atlantic security system.

Serhiy Gapon, the head of the GIS Laboratory at "WDC-Ukraine," and GIS specialist Karolina Borovyk discussed the use of GIS, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and satellite imagery to identify the consequences of military actions. They stressed the importance of monitoring changes in land cover, water resources, forests, and agricultural lands for the restoration of affected areas.

The forum became an important platform for discussing environmental issues and finding solutions to ensure Ukraine's environmental and energy security. Participants stressed that joint efforts and international cooperation are key to addressing ecocide and restoring affected territories.

18/05/2024

World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development in cooperation with leading experts has conducted a foresight study ‘Scenarios of the end of the Russian-Ukrainian war in the context of the new security architecture of the world’.

The study analyses the state and possible prospects of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation in the third year of the full-scale war in the structure of the new architecture of Euro-Atlantic security and regional stability in Europe.

It is based on the findings of the American think tank for global policy, RAND CORPORATION, obtained in 2023 and 2024, and is a further development of these results. The Ukrainian researchers used text analytics software and hardware, OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) tools, the Foresight methodology, artificial intelligence and data mining tools.

Read more at the link (in Ukrainian):
https://svit.kpi.ua/2024/05/13/майбутнє-україни-у-новому-світовому-п/

06/06/2023

Scenarios of flooding of the surrounding territories in the event of a breach of the Kakhovs'ka HPP dam
http://wdc.org.ua/en/kakhovska-hpp-flooding-scenarios

According to the probable scenario of flooding of the surrounding territories in the event of a breach of the Kakhovskaya HPP dam, the coast of the right bank of the Dnieper will suffer 8 times less than the left part of the bank. The total flooded area reaches 1126 km2. A hundred settlements may be completely or partially in the affected area!
Among large settlements, the coastal part of Kherson will be flooded.
Scientists of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development prepared scenarios of the consequences of undermining the Kakhovskaya HPP in October 2022.

23/02/2022

Shelters for the population of Kyiv
https://arcg.is/1ifXqK1

Modern geographic information panels allow easily convey to the average user processed information about large amounts of thematic spatial data. Thus, based on an interactive map (posted on the website of the Kyiv City State Administration https://kyivcity.gov.ua/news/interaktivnu_kartu_z_adresami_ukrittiv_dlya_naselennya_mista_kiyeva_onovleno_y_utochneno/) with addresses of shelters for the population of Kyiv, specialists of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development prepared a dashboard (https://arcg.is/1ifXqK1), which allows generating the list of the nearest shelters by different type, accessibility, availability of ramps etc.

The dashboard toolkit allows you to explore the area in the mode of a topographic map, OSM map and space image, measure the distances between objects, filter shelters by districts and owners (balance holders).

It is better to get acquainted with the nearest shelters in advance and plan ways to access them. However, this is the case when the dashboard developers sincerely hope that there will never be a situation that will require the use of this application.

01/02/2022

On January 28, 2022, a meeting was held with the President of Kyiv School of Economics Tymofiy Mylovanov, which included the discussion of joint training of specialists in the field of nuclear energy, joint engineering, natural and economic projects. КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського will involve the Institute of Atomic and Thermal Energy, established under ТЕФ Теплоенергетичний факультет КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського, Факультет менеджменту та маркетингу КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського, the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development.

During the visit, the WDC team presented the possibilities of the Situation Center, the results of the foresight studies on the strategy of socio-economic development of Ukraine in the medium (until 2020) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons; development of the defence-industrial complex of Ukraine on the time horizon of 2021-2030; analysis of the spread of the coronavirus pandemic, the impact on the economy and society. In addition, the guests were shown experience in the development of models, methods and tools for assessing the state and modelling the behaviour of complex systems of different nature in order to optimize their functioning, ensuring the decision-making process; in the field of monitoring and analysis of critical changes in the ecological and economic condition of the territories of Ukraine on the basis of satellite data; tools for information intelligence based on open data, etc.

Video materials are available by the link https://youtu.be/LuiFnUL9jhs

01/02/2022

КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського hosted a regular meeting of the Presidium of the Ukrainian Peace Council (www.peacecouncil.org.ua), dedicated to the issues of strengthening peace in Ukraine.

The meeting was attended by Deputy Chairman - Director of UPC, Candidate of Political Science V. Novohatsky, Deputy Chairman of UPC, Rector of the Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine M. Zgurovsky, members of the Presidium: Rector of the Drahomanov National Pedagogical University, Academician of the National Academy of Pedagogical Sciences of Ukraine, Professor V. Andrushchenko, President of the National Academy of Pedagogical Sciences of Ukraine, Academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine V. Kremen, Director of the Amosov National Institute of Cardiovascular Surgery Y. Miroshnikov, Honored Journalist of Ukraine V. Pasak, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine V. Tsybukh, Candidate of Political Science. Kharitonchuk, Director of the Federation of World Peace in Ukraine, a collective member of the UPC M. Ilyin.

Before starting work, the rector of the Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute M. Zgurovsky conducted an excursion to the educational institution, in particular to the memorial of Kyiv Polytechnics who died for the independence of Ukraine.

UPC Presidium was acquainted with the activities of the KPI Situation Center - an online platform for analysis and scenario planning of sustainable development of the regions of Ukraine in the context of quality and safety of human life. The activities of the KPI Situation Center, which aims to increase the completeness and effectiveness of analytical and informational support of management decisions aimed at ensuring sustainable development of individual regions and Ukraine as a whole, in many respects, meet the principles of peacekeeping in peacekeeping and harmony.

The meeting discussed issues related to the situation in the east of the country, the activities of the Peace Council in 2021, including participation in many conferences on international relations, which are currently a decisive factor in maintaining peace in Ukraine. An important task is to establish and strengthen the positive dynamics in relations with partner countries and international institutions, to maintain international solidarity and economic support in the face of Russian aggression. In this respect, European and Euro-Atlantic integration remains a key foreign policy priority.

The meeting also considered the activities of the organization for 2022.

The video of the meeting is available by the link https://youtu.be/71rWmosh1XQ

25/01/2022

21/01/2022

The report is here.

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05/01/2022

Forecast of a new wave of COVID-19 related to the approach of the Omicron strain to Ukraine
http://wdc.org.ua/en/covid19-delta-omicron-spread

In the study conducted by a joint team of scientists of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development of Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського) and the Lev Gromashevsky Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases NAMS of Ukraine, it is noted that the new wave of COVID-19, associated with the Omicron strain is spreading rapidly around the world and moving towards the Eastern region of Europe, including Ukraine.

Given the latest data on the rapid growth of cases in Western Europe and the United States (as of December 29, 2021: Great Britain - 183,037, France - 208,099, Spain - 100,760, Italy - 98,030, United States - 465,670 cases), we can assume faster, compared to Delta, Omicron virus transmission. At the same time, the number of daily deaths in these countries has decreased significantly (57, 184, 78, 136 and 1777 cases, respectively). This suggests that in Ukraine, the next wave of COVID-19, including clinical manifestations of the disease, will be easier than the previous ones.

Analyzing the previous wave of the disease, scientists point out that the highest level of the weekly smoothed curve of new cases of COVID-19 caused by Delta strain occurred in Ukraine on 27.10.2021-02.11.2021 and reached 23,333. In total, about 509 thousand people were ill in those days. When the level of fully vaccinated persons reached 20.2% (November 15, 2021), the incidence wave decreased. And at the end of December 2021, the average incidence per week decreased to 4.5 thousand cases per day. Currently, 31.2% of Ukrainians are fully vaccinated with 2 doses, which gives hope for a further downward trend during the winter holidays and reaching its minimum during the first decade of January 2022 at the level of 3-5 thousand new infected people per day.

At the same time, a variant of the Omicron strain of SARS-CoV-2 virus and H3N2 and B influenza viruses have started circulating in Ukraine. This will affect the incidence rate in the next wave and require differential diagnosis of COVID-19 and influenza. A long-term forecast (100 days ahead) based on the use of a neural network of the "direct perceptron" type was performed to test this hypothesis. The forecast results indicate that during the second decade of January 2022, the next wave of morbidity caused by a variant of the Omicron strain may begin to increase. This wave likely peaks in mid-February 2022 at 23,000 to 25,000 infected people per day. Its gradual decline is projected in March - April 2022. However, the data on official morbidity and mortality will largely depend on the laboratory diagnostics scale and the duration of the next wave - on further vaccination and the volume of anti-epidemic measures that should be taken into account.

15/12/2021

Rector of КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського Mykhailo Zgurovsky took part in the presentation of the establishment of the State Enterprise "Ukrainian National Center for Peacebuilding".

During his speech, Mykhailo Zgurovsky explained how the water supply of the Donbas can be saved.

A modular principle of solving the problem is proposed. In each mining town, an autonomous system can be installed, which processes underground mine waters and provides the town with clean water. This project is designed for some towns in the region.

The World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development has already joined the development of forecasts and big data analysis that will assist in making decisions on important issues of the Donbas quickly and competently.

14/12/2021

On December 2, 2021, Iryna Vereshchuk, Minister for Reintegration of the Temporarily Occupied Territories of Ukraine, visited the National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" (КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського).

The meeting began with an acquaintance with the Situation Center of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development (WDC-Ukraine). WDC-Ukraine scientists proposed ways to solve the problems that are of great concern to Міністерство з питань реінтеграції тимчасово окупованих територій України. Experts presented the results of the analytical work of the Situation Center, the developments of WDC-Ukraine, which may be the basis for cooperation with the state enterprise "Ukrainian National Center for Peacebuilding", established by the Ministry of Reintegration in June 2021. These researches include monitoring and analyzing of critical changes of environmental-economical state of temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine based on satellite data, tools for information intelligence based on open data, methodological and mathematical apparatus and integrated online platform "Advanced Analytics" for scenario modelling, collaborative development of management decisions and assessment of the consequences of their adoption, etc.

During the meeting, issues of water supply in the Donbas regions and the development of joint educational projects, including support for the educational program "Conflict Resolution and Mediation", also were discussed.

Key issues of the meeting of the Ministry of Reintegration and Igor Sikorsky KPI are set out in the Memorandum of Partnership and Cooperation in Education and Science, signed by the parties.

08/10/2021

The heads of the Educational Agency of the City of Kyiv and the Kyiv City Organization of the Trade Union of Education and Science Workers of Ukraine visited Igor Sikorsky KPI to discuss the issue of cooperation in the field of educational technologies.

The leading topic of discussion was the Information and Analytical Situation Center of KPI, which has powerful server units and analyzes the processes in society concerning current events. Experts of the Situation Center demonstrated research results in the field of management and analysis of data of different nature, modelling, assessment and forecasting of development of countries of the world and regions of Ukraine (http://sdi.wdc.org.ua/), including interactive web-based dashboards for tracking and forecasting distribution of COVID-19 in Kyiv (https://arcg.is/1jz4SH) and Ukraine (https://arcg.is/08ymaD).

The meeting ended with the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between KPI, the Educational Agency of the City of Kyiv and the Trade Union of Kyiv educators.

23/09/2021

Specialists of WCD-Ukraine and the L.V. Gromashevsky Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases NAMS of Ukraine (https://duieih.kiev.ua/) performed a study of the spread of the fourth wave of COVID-19 caused by the strain "Delta" in Ukraine and the countries of the world that have felt the highest impact of the pandemic (http://wdc.org.ua/en/covid19-cyclic-regularities). The forecast modelling was carried out within the framework of the Foresight COVID-19 project (http://wdc.org.ua/uk/covid19-project) WDC-Ukraine.
The pandemics of the severe acute respiratory syndrome, swine flu, Ebola, and COVID-19 of a five-six year period have been found to occur over the past 20 years. Using the methods of technical analysis of big data, the cyclical nature of the four waves of the pandemic process COVID-19 over the period January 2020 - September 2021 was also revealed. The results indicate a significantly lower level of new disease and mortality during the current fourth wave of the pandemic process, compared to the second and third waves, in countries with a high percentage of vaccinated population.
The countries of the world are clustered according to the main signs of the spread of the disease, the rate of vaccination and the rate of extinction of the pandemic. Ukraine has entered the group of countries in which the new wave has not yet reached its maximum. In September 2021, mortality in Ukraine is growing faster than during the same period in 2020. As of mid-September 2021, the country has a low level of fully vaccinated population (about 12%) and therefore may face severe consequences of the pandemic in the near future.
As the number of hospitalizations and mortality is one of the determinants of the extent of the disease, it is vital to protect as soon as possible by vaccinating the most vulnerable populations of COVID-19, namely the age group 60 and older and those with comorbidities.
Forecasting the dynamics of the new fourth wave of COVID-19 in Ukraine 200 days ahead using the method of comparative analysis and neural network such as "direct perceptron" shows that this wave is growing and it may be faster, but shorter than the previous ones. Its peak is estimated at 15,000-18,000 cases per day. The fading of the fourth wave is expected at the end of 2021.
An important predictor of such a complication of the epidemic situation with COVID-19 is a significant easing of quarantine restrictions in the summer and in most educational institutions from early September. In addition, the probability of a seasonal increase in other respiratory infections, the intensity of the epidemic process of which during the previous 1.5 years was constrained by quarantine and other anti-epidemic restrictions, should be taken into account.

You can read more about the results of the study at the link "Foresight COVID-19: cyclic regularities of the COVID-19 spread and the influence of vaccination on its further attenuation" (http://wdc.org.ua/en/covid19-cyclic-regularities)

13/08/2021

https://data.covid19taskforce.com/data