01/16/2021
I sent this Covid vaccine update to my patients this afternoon; I hope you find it helpful.
Hi folks,
On this cold gray January weekend, Heidi and I hope you’re warm and well. Here’s a vaccine update.
The gist: Maine CDC will announce this week preliminary details about how the vast majority of my practice – people over 65 and those under 65 with various medical conditions – can get vaccinated, beginning about February 1. I’ll keep you posted. Most of my patients who are New Hampshire residents can register for the vaccine beginning next week; details below. And, Florida is a free-for-all. I have a suggestion below about that, too.
OK, details:
As you know, the vaccine rollout has occurred slower than expected. The president and his HHS Secretary, Alex Azar, blame the states: “The federal government has distributed the vaccines to the states. Now it is up to the states to administer. Get moving!” And, “Some states are very slow to inoculate recipients despite successful and very large scale distribution by the Federal Government” [sic], and “We have too much vaccine sitting in freezers in hospitals with hospitals not using it.”
At briefings Wednesday and Friday, Maine CDC Director Navir Shah flatly disputed those statements.
For each week of the vaccine rollout, Dr. Shah said, Maine has received less vaccine than promised, with negligible increases in doses, week over week. Virtually all doses allotted have been administered. There is no backlog in Maine hospitals.
Further, the federal government’s recent decision to release all available vaccines, rather than hold some in abeyance for second doses, has not yielded an increase in available supply for the states.
That, Dr. Shah said at yesterday’s briefing, is because the federal government had already been drawing from the second dose reserve supply for several days.
Compared with other states, Maine remains efficient at vaccine administration, as does New Hampshire. That matters because the federal government allots more doses to states that are more efficient.
My own view, for what it’s worth: Nobody is at fault for slow vaccine administration. We have more people than doses; it takes time to produce them. We have to wait.
But not for long. The vaccine administration criteria changed last week, and with it the projected schedule.
Here’s where we stand in Maine with recent federal and state revisions:
Phase 1a, vaccinating health care workers, finishes by the the end of this month.
Phase 1b, beginning by February 1 and as soon as this coming week, now includes those 65 and older and those under 65 with medical problems that place them at higher risk for complications with a Covid infection.
There is some ambiguity about those thresholds for phase 1b:
1. The age cutoff is reported variously as 65 or 70. For example, Governor Mills called the threshold 65 and 70 in the same press conference given Wednesday. And the Maine CDC website describes 1b this way: “People aged 65 and older: Given the limited number of vaccines, people 70 and older will be vaccinated first…Maine will then move to residents aged 65 to 69.”
2. The medical complications allowing vaccination under age 65 are reported in two lists, one noting firm evidence supporting its list, the other noting less firm evidence. It’s not clear whether both lists apply to phase 1b.
My advice about these ambiguities: Don’t worry. The majority of my practice fall in the 1b category. That means I expect most of you will be vaccinated by April 1, when phase 1b is projected to finish.
Basic questions about phase 1b administration remain: Where will doses be distributed -- to pharmacies or to hospitals? Who will administer them? How will registration occur?
I expect answers to these questions and others in the next few days. I will keep you posted.
Following phase 1b comes 1c, when other essential workers, including teachers, are vaccinated; and then in May or June comes phase 2, when healthy people under 65 are eligible.
In his briefing yesterday, Dr. Shah noted we may have higher than expected vaccine production, which would shift all these projections favorably; we’ll see.
New Hampshire redefined phase 1b as Maine did. So most of my patients living in New Hampshire – over 65 or under 65 with various medical conditions – can register for vaccination on a website created for that purpose, beginning Friday, January 22. Vaccinations for that group will begin 4 days later, on the 26th.
Here is the link for that website: https://nh.gov/covid19
Meanwhile, Florida essentially merged phases 1a with 1b, permitting immediate vaccination of those 65 and older concurrent with healthcare worker vaccinations. Given the vast imbalance of supply and demand, the effect has been the equivalent of throwing vaccines off the back of a pickup truck while the driver shouts “Come and get it!”
Publix pharmacy has partnered with the Florida Department of Health to administer vaccines there. If you are spending the winter in Florida, please check this website daily, to register for vaccination when it’s available near you:
https://www.publix.com/covid-vaccine?utm_source=vanity&utm_medium=direct&utm_term=covidvaccine&utm_campaign=PCN19449
All this may be more than you wanted to know. I wanted to get into the weeds this morning because so many of you have called or emailed for details.
Ironically, we are at the pandemic’s peak right now. Dr. Shah noted yesterday that of all the hospitalizations caused by Covid so far, 20% of them have occurred in the past month. This is a dangerous time.
Around the holidays I’ve thought about my parents. Maybe like yours, they lived through the depression and World War 2. The older I get, the more impressed I am by how quietly they and their peers lived their lives. How graceful they were. How inured to adversity they had become.
As the finish line comes dimly into view, I hope we draw sustenance from their example, and follow their lead.
All the best,
Joel Keenan, MD
All Information on the Coronavirus Covid-19 in New Hampshire